Saturday’s game between the Troy Trojans (11-7, 4-3 Sun Belt) and South Alabama Jaguars (14-5, 6-1 Sun Belt) at Trojan Arena should be a close matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 69-67, with Troy taking home the win. Game time is at 6:00 PM ET on January 25.

Based on our computer prediction, South Alabama projects to cover the 3.5-point spread in its matchup against Troy. The total is currently listed at 130.5, and the two sides are projected to hit the over.

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Troy vs. South Alabama Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 25, 2025
• Time: 6:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Troy, Alabama
• Venue: Trojan Arena
• Line: Troy -3.5
• Point total: 130.5
• Moneyline (to win): Troy -168, South Alabama +136

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Troy vs. South Alabama Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Troy 69, South Alabama 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. South Alabama

• Pick ATS: South Alabama (+3.5)
• Pick OU: Over (130.5)

Troy has a 10-6-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to South Alabama, who is 11-6-0 ATS. A total of seven out of the Trojans’ games this season have gone over the point total, and six of the Jaguars’ games have gone over. The two teams average 147.4 points per game, 16.9 more points than this matchup’s total. Troy is 6-4 against the spread and 5-5 overall in its past 10 games, while South Alabama has gone 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall.

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Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans average 73.5 points per game (217th in college basketball) while giving up 66.4 per outing (50th in college basketball). They have a +128 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 7.1 points per game.
• Troy wins the rebound battle by an average of 6.6 boards. It is pulling down 34.7 rebounds per game (76th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 28.1 per contest.
• Troy connects on 7.3 three-pointers per game (230th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 7.1 on average.
• The Trojans’ 93.5 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 232nd in college basketball, and the 84.4 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 29th in college basketball.
• Troy has committed 14.3 turnovers per game (345th in college basketball play) while forcing 13.3 (64th in college basketball).

South Alabama Performance Insights

• The Jaguars outscore opponents by 12.3 points per game (posting 73.9 points per game, 209th in college basketball, and allowing 61.6 per outing, ninth in college basketball) and have a +234 scoring differential.
• South Alabama records 30.8 rebounds per game (278th in college basketball) while conceding 32.3 per outing to opponents. It is outrebounded by 1.5 boards per game.
• South Alabama makes 9.9 three-pointers per game (31st in college basketball), 1.1 fewer than its opponents.
• South Alabama has had fewer turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 8.4 per game (first in college basketball) while forcing 13.2 (72nd in college basketball).

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