Saturday’s game at Mitchell Center has the South Alabama Jaguars (13-5, 5-1 Sun Belt) matching up with the Troy Trojans (11-6, 4-2 Sun Belt) at 4:00 PM (on January 18). Our computer prediction projects a 70-67 win for South Alabama, who is a slight favorite based on our model.

According to our computer prediction, Troy should cover the spread, which is currently listed at 3.5. The two teams are projected to go over the 129.5 over/under.

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South Alabama vs. Troy Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025
• Time: 4:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Mobile, Alabama
• Venue: Mitchell Center
• Line: South Alabama -3.5
• Point total: 129.5
• Moneyline (to win): South Alabama -166, Troy +138

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South Alabama vs. Troy Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  South Alabama 70, Troy 67

Spread & Total Prediction for South Alabama vs. Troy

• Pick ATS: Troy (+3.5)
• Pick OU: Over (129.5)

South Alabama has compiled an 11-5-0 record against the spread this season, while Troy is 9-6-0. The Jaguars have a 6-10-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Trojans have a record of 7-8-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams combine to score 148.6 points per game, 19.1 more points than this matchup’s total. South Alabama is 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall over its last 10 games, while Troy has gone 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall.

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South Alabama Performance Insights

• The Jaguars average 74.5 points per game (200th in college basketball) while allowing 61.6 per outing (eighth in college basketball). They have a +233 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 12.9 points per game.
• South Alabama records 30.9 rebounds per game (276th in college basketball) compared to the 31.9 of its opponents.
• South Alabama connects on 9.8 three-pointers per game (39th in college basketball), 1.3 fewer than its opponents (11.1). It is shooting 34.3% from deep (153rd in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 32.9%.
• The Jaguars’ 101.6 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 67th in college basketball, and the 84 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 27th in college basketball.
• South Alabama has come up on top in the turnover battle by 5.1 turnovers per game, committing 8.1 (first in college basketball play) while forcing 13.2 (74th in college basketball).

Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans are outscoring opponents by 7.6 points per game, with a +129 scoring differential overall. They put up 74.1 points per game (208th in college basketball) and give up 66.5 per contest (57th in college basketball).
• The 34.5 rebounds per game Troy accumulates rank 90th in college basketball, 6.4 more than the 28.1 its opponents pull down.
• Troy knocks down 7.2 three-pointers per game (233rd in college basketball) at a 29.8% rate (333rd in college basketball), compared to the 6.8 its opponents make, shooting 33% from beyond the arc.
• Troy has typically lost the turnover battle this season, committing 14.4 per game (345th in college basketball) while forcing 13.3 (69th in college basketball).

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