Troy vs. Georgia State Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – December 21

Published 12:19 am Saturday, December 21, 2024

Saturday’s contest between the Troy Trojans (7-4, 0-0 Sun Belt) and the Georgia State Panthers (4-7, 0-0 Sun Belt) at Trojan Arena is expected to be a lopsided matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 78-68 and heavily favors Troy to come out on top. Game time is at 2:00 PM ET on December 21.

Based on our computer prediction, Georgia State should cover the spread, which is currently listed at 12.5. The two teams are projected to eclipse the 145.5 over/under.

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Troy vs. Georgia State Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, December 21, 2024
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Troy, Alabama
  • Venue: Trojan Arena
  • Line: Troy -12.5
  • Point total: 145.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Troy -952, Georgia State +590

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Troy vs. Georgia State Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Troy 78, Georgia State 68

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. Georgia State

  • Pick ATS: Georgia State (+12.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (145.5)

Troy’s record against the spread so far this season is 6-3-0, and Georgia State’s is 5-5-0. A total of five out of the Trojans’ games this season have hit the over, and five of the Panthers’ games have gone over. The teams combine to score 148.2 points per game, 2.7 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Troy Performance Insights

  • The Trojans’ +88 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 8.0 points per game) is a result of scoring 75.3 points per game (199th in college basketball) while allowing 67.3 per contest (83rd in college basketball).
  • Troy prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 6.4 boards. It is grabbing 34.5 rebounds per game (106th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 28.1 per outing.
  • Troy knocks down 6.4 three-pointers per game (306th in college basketball) at a 28.5% rate (346th in college basketball), compared to the 6.9 its opponents make while shooting 34.2% from deep.
  • The Trojans record 93.3 points per 100 possessions (241st in college basketball), while giving up 83.4 points per 100 possessions (41st in college basketball).
  • Troy and its opponents have been mostly even in the turnover battle. The Trojans commit 15.4 per game (355th in college basketball) and force 14.7 (44th in college basketball play).

Georgia State Performance Insights

  • The Panthers’ -78 scoring differential (being outscored by 7.1 points per game) is a result of putting up 72.9 points per game (247th in college basketball) while giving up 80.0 per contest (344th in college basketball).
  • The 36.2 rebounds per game Georgia State accumulates rank 51st in the nation, 5.1 more than the 31.1 its opponents grab.
  • Georgia State knocks down 6.7 three-pointers per game (284th in college basketball), 1.3 fewer than its opponents.
  • Georgia State has committed 3.1 more turnovers than its opponents, averaging 12.9 (285th in college basketball) while forcing 9.8 (327th in college basketball).

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