Best Bets, Predictions & Odds for the Troy vs. Arkansas State Game – Saturday, Oct. 26

Published 7:23 pm Wednesday, October 23, 2024

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (4-3) and Troy Trojans (1-6) will battle in a clash of Sun Belt rivals at Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro, Arkansas. We have the odds and best bets for you below.

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When and Where is Troy vs. Arkansas State?

  • Date: Saturday, October 26, 2024
  • Time: 7 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • City: Jonesboro, Arkansas
  • Venue: Centennial Bank Stadium

Troy vs. Arkansas State Prediction & Moneyline Pick

  • Prediction: Arkansas State 29, Troy 20
  • Arkansas State is -292 on the moneyline, and Troy is +230.
  • Arkansas State has been listed as the moneyline favorite only two other times so far this season, and they won both of the games.
  • The Red Wolves have played as a moneyline favorite of -292 or shorter in just one game this season, which they won.
  • This season, Troy has been listed as the underdog in four games and failed to win any of those contests.
  • The Trojans have been at least a +230 moneyline underdog four times this season, but lost all of those games.
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Red Wolves’ implied win probability is 74.5%.

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Against the Spread Pick

  • Pick ATS:

    Arkansas State (-7.5)

  • In six Arkansas State games this year, it has three wins against the spread.
  • In 2024, the Red Wolves are winless against the spread when entering a game as a favorite of 7.5 points or more.
  • Troy has covered the spread two times this season.
  • The Trojans have covered the spread once this season when underdogs by 7.5 points or more (in four chances).

You can place your bet against the spread at BetMGM.

Best Over/Under Pick

  • Pick OU: Under (50.5)
  • Three of Arkansas State’s games this season have gone over Saturday’s over/under of 50.5 points.
  • This season, four of Troy’s games have ended with a score higher than 50.5 points.
  • Arkansas State averages 22.6 points per game against Troy’s 19, totaling 8.9 points under the matchup’s over/under of 50.5.

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Key Stats Splits

Arkansas State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 58.4 64 55.6
Implied Total AVG 35.5 35 35.8
ATS Record 3-3-0 1-1-0 2-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-4-0 0-2-0 2-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-0 1-0 1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-3 1-0 0-3

Troy

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 49.4 49.1 49.8
Implied Total AVG 32 31 33.3
ATS Record 2-5-0 1-3-0 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-5-0 1-3-0 1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-2 1-2 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-4 0-1 0-3

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