Falcons vs. Buccaneers Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Thursday Night Football Week 5
Published 7:38 pm Wednesday, October 2, 2024
Our computer model projects a victory for the Atlanta Falcons when they face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Thursday, Oct. 3 at 8:15 p.m. ET — for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score, see below.
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On offense, the Falcons rank 22nd in the NFL with 18.8 points per game. Meanwhile, they rank 14th in points allowed (336.5 points allowed per contest). The Buccaneers are generating 319 total yards per contest on offense this season (16th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are allowing 335.3 total yards per contest (18th-ranked).
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Falcons vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Toss Up (Spread: Falcons by 1.5) | Under (44) | Falcons 22, Buccaneers 21 |
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Falcons Betting Info
- Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Falcons have an implied win probability of 55.6%.
- Atlanta has covered once in four games with a spread this season.
- The Falcons have been favored by 1.5 points or more this season twice, and failed to cover both times.
- Games featuring Atlanta have hit the over just once this season.
- The total for this game is 44, 0.3 points fewer than the average total in Falcons games thus far this season (postseason included).
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Buccaneers Betting Info
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Buccaneers have a 48.8% chance to win.
- Tampa Bay has won three games against the spread this year, failing to cover once.
- The Buccaneers have won their only game this year when playing as at least 1.5-point underdogs.
- This year, games featuring Tampa Bay have gone over the point total twice.
- The average total for Buccaneers games is 44.1 points, 0.1 more than this game’s over/under.
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Falcons vs. Buccaneers 2024 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | 18.8 | 21.3 | 17.7 | 21.3 | 22 | 21 |
| Buccaneers | 24.3 | 19.5 | 25.7 | 20.7 | 20 | 16 |
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