Our computer model predicts a win for the Atlanta Falcons when they face the Kansas City Chiefs at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 22 at 8:20 p.m. ET — for more information regarding the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.

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With 386 yards allowed per game on defense, which ranks fourth-worst in the NFL, the Chiefs have had to lean on their 15th-ranked offense (319.5 yards per contest) to keep them in games. The Falcons rank 24th in the NFL with 16 points per game on offense, and they rank 11th with 19.5 points given up per contest on the defensive side of the ball.

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Falcons vs. Chiefs Predictions and Picks

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Falcons Betting Info

• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Falcons have a 41.7% chance to win.
• Atlanta has won one game against the spread this year.
• The Falcons have covered the spread when playing as at least 3-point underdogs in their only opportunity this season.
• So far this season, no Atlanta game has hit the over.
• The over/under for this game is two points higher than the average scoring total for Falcons games (44.5).

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Chiefs Betting Info

• Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Chiefs’ implied win probability is 62.3%.
• Kansas City has a record of 1-1-0 against the spread this season.
• The Chiefs have covered the spread once when favored by 3 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
• Kansas City games have gone over the point total twice this season.
• The average total for Chiefs games this season has been 47, 0.5 points higher than the total for this game.

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Falcons vs. Chiefs 2024 Scoring Insights

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