Saturday’s contest features the Troy Trojans (10-5, 3-1 Sun Belt) and the Arkansas State Red Wolves (11-5, 2-2 Sun Belt) clashing at Trojan Arena in what should be a competitive matchup, with a projected 72-71 victory for Troy according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 4:33 PM ET on January 11.

According to our computer prediction, Troy projects to cover the 1.5-point spread in its matchup against Arkansas State. The over/under has been set at 143.5, and the two teams are projected to go under that total.

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Troy vs. Arkansas State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025
• Time: 4:33 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Troy, Alabama
• Venue: Trojan Arena
• Line: Troy -1.5
• Point total: 143.5
• Moneyline (to win): Troy -134, Arkansas State +110

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Troy vs. Arkansas State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Troy 72, Arkansas State 71

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. Arkansas State

• Pick ATS: Troy (-1.5)
• Pick OU: Under (143.5)

Troy is 8-5-0 against the spread, while Arkansas State’s ATS record this season is 6-9-0. The Trojans have gone over the point total in six games, while Red Wolves games have gone over seven times. The teams average 151.9 points per game, 8.4 more points than this matchup’s total. Troy has a 6-4 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall in the last 10 contests. Arkansas State has gone 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall in its last 10 contests.

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Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans are outscoring opponents by 7.8 points per game with a +116 scoring differential overall. They put up 73.7 points per game (229th in college basketball) and allow 65.9 per contest (51st in college basketball).
• Troy comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 6.1 boards. It is grabbing 34.2 rebounds per game (101st in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 28.1 per contest.
• Troy knocks down 6.7 three-pointers per game (281st in college basketball), while its opponents have made 6.6 on average.
• The Trojans rank 245th in college basketball by averaging 93.1 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 30th in college basketball, allowing 83.4 points per 100 possessions.
• Troy forces 13.9 turnovers per game (49th in college basketball) while committing 14.7 (349th in college basketball action).

Arkansas State Performance Insights

• The Red Wolves’ +119 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 7.4 points per game) is a result of putting up 78.2 points per game (109th in college basketball) while giving up 70.8 per outing (169th in college basketball).
• The 37.4 rebounds per game Arkansas State accumulates rank 17th in college basketball. Their opponents grab 36.4.
• Arkansas State knocks down 9.4 three-pointers per game (55th in college basketball) while shooting 31.5% from deep (292nd in college basketball). It is making 2.6 more threes than its opponents, who drain 6.8 per game at 31.1%.
• Arkansas State has committed two fewer turnovers than its opponents, averaging 10.6 (87th in college basketball) while forcing 12.6 (131st in college basketball).

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