Thursday’s game that pits the Troy Trojans (10-4, 3-0 Sun Belt) versus the Texas State Bobcats (8-7, 1-2 Sun Belt) at Trojan Arena has a projected final score of 73-67 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Troy, who is favored in this matchup by our model. Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET on January 9.

According to our computer prediction, Troy projects to cover the 6.5-point spread in its matchup against Texas State. The over/under has been set at 134.5, and the two sides are projected to hit the over.

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Troy vs. Texas State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, January 9, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Troy, Alabama
• Venue: Trojan Arena
• Line: Troy -6.5
• Point total: 134.5
• Moneyline (to win): Troy -275, Texas State +220

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Troy vs. Texas State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Troy 73, Texas State 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. Texas State

• Pick ATS: Troy (-6.5)
• Pick OU: Over (134.5)

Troy is 8-4-0 against the spread this season compared to Texas State’s 7-6-0 ATS record. The Trojans are 5-7-0 and the Bobcats are 7-6-0 in terms of going over the point total. The two teams score an average of 149.2 points per game, 14.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Troy is 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall in its last 10 games, while Texas State has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans’ +117 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 8.3 points per game) is a result of scoring 73.7 points per game (231st in college basketball) while giving up 65.4 per contest (48th in college basketball).
• Troy prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 6.7 boards. It is grabbing 34.6 rebounds per game (89th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 27.9 per outing.
• Troy connects on 6.9 three-pointers per game (263rd in college basketball), while its opponents have made 6.6 on average.
• The Trojans rank 249th in college basketball with 93.0 points scored per 100 possessions, and 25th in college basketball defensively with 82.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Troy forces 14.0 turnovers per game (49th in college basketball) while committing 14.7 (346th in college basketball action).

Texas State Performance Insights

• The Bobcats have a +99 scoring differential, topping opponents by 6.6 points per game. They’re putting up 75.5 points per game, 178th in college basketball, and are giving up 68.9 per contest to rank 117th in college basketball.
• The 33.1 rebounds per game Texas State accumulates rank 172nd in the nation, 5.1 more than the 28.0 its opponents pull down.
• Texas State hits 1.8 fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 5.5 (351st in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.3.
• Texas State has committed 11.3 turnovers per game (160th in college basketball) while forcing 11.4 (225th in college basketball).

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