Monday’s contest at Dunn-Oliver Acadome has the Alabama State Hornets (5-9, 1-0 SWAC) matching up with the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (3-11, 0-1 SWAC) at 7:00 PM ET. Our computer prediction is a lopsided 87-74 victory, as our model heavily favors Alabama State.

According to our computer prediction, UAPB is projected to cover the spread (15.5) against Alabama State. The two sides are expected to go under the 163.5 over/under.

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Alabama State vs. UAPB Game Info & Odds

• Date: Monday, January 6, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: SWAC Digital Network
• Where: Montgomery, Alabama
• Venue: Dunn-Oliver Acadome
• Line: Alabama State -15.5
• Point total: 163.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alabama State -1695, UAPB +890

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Alabama State vs. UAPB Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alabama State 87, UAPB 74

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama State vs. UAPB

• Pick ATS: UAPB (+15.5)
• Pick OU: Under (163.5)

Alabama State has put together a 6-6-0 record against the spread this season, while UAPB is 5-7-0. The Hornets are 6-6-0 and the Golden Lions are 9-3-0 in terms of going over the point total. The teams average 151.9 points per game combined, 11.6 less than this matchup’s over/under. Alabama State is 4-6 against the spread and 3-7 overall over its past 10 contests, while UAPB has gone 4-6 against the spread and 1-9 overall.

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Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets average 76.9 points per game (143rd in college basketball) while allowing 79.5 per outing (340th in college basketball). They have a -37 scoring differential overall and have been outscored by 2.6 points per game.
• The 30.6 rebounds per game Alabama State averages rank 295th in the nation, and are 6.8 fewer than the 37.4 its opponents pull down per outing.
• Alabama State hits 9.6 three-pointers per game (47th in college basketball), 1.5 more than its opponents (8.1). It is shooting 34.3% from beyond the arc (152nd in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 33.8%.
• The Hornets score 94.9 points per 100 possessions (212th in college basketball), while allowing 98.1 points per 100 possessions (324th in college basketball).
• Alabama State has won the turnover battle by 2.5 turnovers per game, committing 9.1 (10th in college basketball play) while forcing 11.6 (206th in college basketball).

UAPB Performance Insights

• The Golden Lions’ -247 scoring differential (being outscored by 17.6 points per game) is a result of putting up 75.0 points per game (196th in college basketball) while allowing 92.6 per contest (364th in college basketball).
• UAPB falls short in the rebound battle by an average of 6.4 boards. It grabs 29.6 rebounds per game (321st in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 36.0.
• UAPB knocks down 7.9 three-pointers per game (177th in college basketball) at a 32.8% rate (229th in college basketball), compared to the 10.6 per outing its opponents make, shooting 35.2% from beyond the arc.
• UAPB has lost the turnover battle by 4.4 per game, committing 15.9 (359th in college basketball) while forcing 11.5 (217th in college basketball).

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