Saturday’s contest between the Alabama State Hornets (4-9, 0-0 SWAC) and the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (2-11, 0-0 SWAC) at Dunn-Oliver Acadome should be a one-sided matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 79-67 and heavily favors Alabama State to come out on top. Tipoff is at 4:00 PM ET on January 4.

Based on our computer prediction, Mississippi Valley State projects to cover the 22.5-point spread in its matchup against Alabama State. The over/under has been set at 140.5, and the two sides are projected to hit the over.

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Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 4, 2025
• Time: 4:00 PM ET
• TV: SWAC Digital Network
• Where: Montgomery, Alabama
• Venue: Dunn-Oliver Acadome
• Line: Alabama State -22.5
• Point total: 140.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alabama State -10000, Mississippi Valley State +2500

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Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alabama State 79, Mississippi Valley State 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State

• Pick ATS: Mississippi Valley State (+22.5)
• Pick OU: Over (140.5)

Alabama State has a 5-6-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to Mississippi Valley State, who is 3-8-0 ATS. Both the Hornets and the Delta Devils are 6-5-0 in terms of going over the point total in their games this season. The teams score 127.5 points per game combined, 13.0 fewer than this matchup’s over/under. Alabama State is 4-6 against the spread and 3-7 overall over its past 10 contests, while Mississippi Valley State has gone 2-8 against the spread and 0-10 overall.

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Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets are being outscored by 5.1 points per game with a -66 scoring differential overall. They put up 76.3 points per game (161st in college basketball) and allow 81.4 per outing (348th in college basketball).
• Alabama State loses the rebound battle by 7.6 boards on average. It collects 30.7 rebounds per game, which ranks 296th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 38.3 per outing.
• Alabama State connects on 9.8 three-pointers per game (42nd in college basketball), 1.3 more than its opponents (8.5). It is shooting 33.8% from beyond the arc (188th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 34.9%.
• The Hornets rank 238th in college basketball with 93.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and 345th in college basketball defensively with 100.0 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Alabama State has typically won the turnover battle this season, committing 9.2 per game (16th in college basketball action) while forcing 11.4 (224th in college basketball).

Mississippi Valley State Performance Insights

• The Delta Devils put up 51.2 points per game (364th in college basketball) while allowing 85.7 per outing (360th in college basketball). They have a -449 scoring differential and have been outscored by 34.5 points per game.
• Mississippi Valley State averages 23.8 rebounds per game (363rd in college basketball) while allowing 33.8 per outing to opponents. It is outrebounded by 10.0 boards per game.
• Mississippi Valley State knocks down 3.8 three-pointers per game (364th in college basketball), 6.0 fewer than its opponents.
• Mississippi Valley State has committed 6.0 more turnovers than its opponents, averaging 15.8 (359th in college basketball) while forcing 9.8 (332nd in college basketball).

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