SMU vs. Alabama State Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – December 3

Published 12:19 am Tuesday, December 3, 2024

Tuesday’s game that pits the SMU Mustangs (6-2) against the Alabama State Hornets (3-4) at Moody Coliseum should be a one-sided matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 86-70 in favor of SMU, who is heavily favored by our model. Tipoff is at 8:00 PM ET on December 3.

Based on our computer prediction, Alabama State should cover the point spread, which is currently listed at 19.5. The two sides are projected to go under the 156.5 over/under.

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SMU vs. Alabama State Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Tuesday, December 3, 2024
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV: ACC Network Extra
  • Where: Dallas, Texas
  • Venue: Moody Coliseum
  • Line: SMU -19.5
  • Point total: 156.5
  • Moneyline (to win): SMU -5000, Alabama State +1500

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SMU vs. Alabama State Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    SMU 86, Alabama State 70

Spread & Total Prediction for SMU vs. Alabama State

  • Pick ATS: Alabama State (+19.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (156.5)

SMU has a 3-5-0 record against the spread this season compared to Alabama State, who is 3-2-0 ATS. The Mustangs have a 6-2-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Hornets have a record of 3-2-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams combine to score 165.9 points per game, 9.4 more points than this matchup’s total.

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SMU Performance Insights

  • The Mustangs have a +120 scoring differential, topping opponents by 15.0 points per game. They’re putting up 86.8 points per game to rank 19th in college basketball and are allowing 71.8 per outing to rank 198th in college basketball.
  • SMU comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 9.5 boards. It is recording 37.4 rebounds per game (42nd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 27.9 per contest.
  • SMU makes 8.1 three-pointers per game (158th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.3. It shoots 38.0% from deep while its opponents hit 34.0% from long range.
  • The Mustangs rank 42nd in college basketball by averaging 104.8 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 116th in college basketball, allowing 86.7 points per 100 possessions.
  • SMU has committed 11.4 turnovers per game (167th in college basketball play), 1.5 fewer than the 12.9 it forces on average (137th in college basketball).

Alabama State Performance Insights

  • The Hornets put up 79.1 points per game (120th in college basketball) while giving up 78.1 per contest (319th in college basketball). They have a +7 scoring differential.
  • Alabama State loses the rebound battle by 5.3 boards on average. It collects 31.4 rebounds per game, 261st in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 36.7.
  • Alabama State hits 9.4 three-pointers per game (70th in college basketball) at a 34.4% rate (160th in college basketball), compared to the 8.4 its opponents make, shooting 33.9% from deep.
  • Alabama State has come up on top in the turnover battle by 1.9 per game, committing 9.7 (45th in college basketball) while forcing 11.6 (224th in college basketball).

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