Falcons vs. Broncos Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 11

Published 3:36 pm Saturday, November 16, 2024

On Sunday, Nov. 17 at 4:05 p.m. ET, the Denver Broncos will face the Atlanta Falcons at Empower Field at Mile High. Our computer model predicts that the Broncos will earn a victory — see below for a complete breakdown, regarding the point spread, total and final score.

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Defensively, the Broncos have been a top-five unit, ranking fourth-best by allowing just 17.7 points per game. They rank 22nd on offense (19.7 points per game). With 23.8 points per game on the offensive side of the ball, the Falcons rank 13th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 20th, giving up 23.6 points per game.

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Falcons vs. Broncos Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Broncos (-2) Under (44.5) Broncos 24, Falcons 19

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Falcons Betting Info

  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 47.6% chance of a victory for the Falcons.
  • Atlanta has won five games against the spread this season, failing to cover five times.
  • The Falcons have covered the spread once when an underdog by 2 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
  • So far this year, four of Atlanta’s 10 games with a set number have hit the over.
  • The average total for Falcons games is 46.5 points, two more than this game’s over/under.

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Broncos Betting Info

  • The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Broncos a 56.5% chance to win.
  • Denver has won seven games against the spread this season, while failing to cover three times.
  • The Broncos have won each of their three games this season when playing as at least 2-point favorites.
  • So far this season, six of Denver’s 10 games have hit the over.
  • The over/under for this game is 44.5 points, 4.7 more than the average point total for Broncos games this season (playoffs included).

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Falcons vs. Broncos 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Broncos 19.7 17.7 21 17 18.8 18.2
Falcons 23.8 23.6 21.7 24.8 27 21.8

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