Falcons vs. Saints Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 4

Published 3:37 pm Saturday, September 28, 2024

A victory by the New Orleans Saints over the Atlanta Falcons is our computer model projection for these teams’ upcoming matchup, on Sunday, Sept. 29 at 1:00 p.m. ET (at Mercedes-Benz Stadium). For a full breakdown, regarding the spread, over/under and final score, keep scrolling.

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The Falcons are totaling 16.3 points per game on offense this season (26th in NFL), and they are allowing 20.3 points per game (13th) on the defensive side of the ball. In terms of total offense, the Saints rank ninth in the NFL (343.3 total yards per game) and 21st on defense (335.3 total yards allowed per contest).

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Falcons vs. Saints Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Saints (+3) Over (41) Saints 22, Falcons 21

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Falcons Betting Info

  • The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Falcons a 60.8% chance to win.
  • Atlanta has covered once in three matchups with a spread this season.
  • The Falcons have not covered the spread this season (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
  • So far this season, none of Atlanta’s games have hit the over.
  • Falcons games average 45.2 total points per game this season, 4.2 more than the over/under for this matchup.

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Saints Betting Info

  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 43.5% chance of a victory for the Saints.
  • New Orleans has won two games against the spread this season.
  • The Saints have covered the spread when playing as at least 3-point underdogs in their only opportunity this season.
  • So far this year, two New Orleans games have hit the over.
  • The average total points scored in Saints games (postseason included) this year (41) is five points higher than the total for this matchup.

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Falcons vs. Saints 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Falcons 16.3 20.3 13.5 20 22 21
Saints 34.3 14.7 29.5 12.5 44 19

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