Falcons vs. Steelers Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 1

Published 3:37 pm Saturday, September 7, 2024

A victory by the Pittsburgh Steelers over the Atlanta Falcons is our computer model projection for these teams’ upcoming game, on Sunday, Sept. 8 at 1:00 p.m. ET (at Mercedes-Benz Stadium). For more information, regarding the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.

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The Falcons ranked 17th in total offense (334.3 yards per game) and 11th in total defense (321.1 yards allowed per game) last season. The Steelers ranked 27th in scoring offense (17.9 points per game) and sixth in scoring defense (19.1 points allowed per game) last season.

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Falcons vs. Steelers Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Steelers (+3.5) Under (41.5) Steelers 22, Falcons 17

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Falcons Betting Info

  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Falcons have an implied win probability of 65.5%.
  • Atlanta put together a 5-12-0 ATS record last year.
  • The Falcons were favored by 3.5 points or more two times last season, and covered the spread in one of those matchups.
  • Last season, seven Atlanta games hit the over.
  • Falcons games last season posted an average total of 40.1, which is 1.4 points fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Steelers Betting Info

  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 39.2% chance of a victory for the Steelers.
  • Pittsburgh went 10-7-0 ATS last year.
  • The Steelers won each of their three games last season when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.
  • Pittsburgh games hit the over six out of 17 times last season.
  • The over/under for this game is 2.7 points higher than the average scoring total for Steelers games last season (38.8).

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Falcons vs. Steelers 2023 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Falcons 18.9 21.9 24 20.3 14.3 23.4
Steelers 17.9 19.1 18.3 19.2 17.4 18.9

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